Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their second serve performances compare? Over the past six months, Zverev has a slight edge, winning 46.87% of points compared to Medvedev's 43.9%.
• Who has the better return game recently? Medvedev excels here, taking 45.67% of opponents’ second serve points, beating Zverev’s 43.41%.
• First serve return stats show Medvedev's advantage with 26.16% of points won against Zverev's 23.96%.
• Under pressure, how have they performed recently? Medvedev has saved 56.42% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Zverev's 55.8%.
• Zverev holds a superior overall match win percentage this past year at 74.73%, compared to Medvedev's 62.5%.
• Which surface favors each player? Hard surfaces favor Medvedev, having won 75% of his matches, while Zverev has performed best on clay with a 70% win rate.
• How are their performances different in event levels? Zverev shines on the Main tour with a 75.76% win rate, while Medvedev competes regularly at the Masters series with a 59.09% win rate.
• Who leads in direct head-to-head confrontations? Medvedev has the edge, winning 12 out of 19 encounters with Zverev.
• Medvedev has excelled in tiebreak situations, winning 7 out of 11 against Zverev.
• When matches go to a deciding set, Medvedev holds an advantage, having won 6 out of their 8 deciding sets against Zverev.
• Medvedev faces opponents with an average rank of 52.97, compared to Zverev's tougher schedule with opponents ranked at 47.81 on average.
• Holistically, Medvedev has shown a stronger performance in deciding sets overall in the past year, winning 53% versus Zverev’s 48%.
• In terms of break point conversion, Zverev just edges Medvedev with a recent form rate of 34.08% compared to 33.33%.

Editorial Prediction (June 20, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Daneel Medvedev and Alexander Zverev promises to be a closely contested battle. While Zverev has displayed superior performance in overall match wins and second serve success over the last year, Medvedev shows strength in areas that impact game-changing moments, such as returning second serves and handling extreme pressure situations.

Medvedev's consistency in head-to-head battles, specifically in clinching deciding sets and winning tiebreakers, offers a mental advantage over Zverev. Furthermore, Medvedev's proficiency on hard courts, which will be the surface for this match, could provide an additional edge.

Although Zverev undoubtedly poses a strong challenge, considering Medvedev's historical performances and his ability to play well under pressure, Medvedev is likely to emerge victorious in this matchup.